Wind & energy Analysis

Wind & energy Analysis

DNV GL provides crucial support to evaluate the economics of a project.

Since the fuel for a wind farm is always free, the economics of a project are crucially dependent on the wind resource at a site. A mere 1% increase in the annual mean wind speed can boost energy production by 2% in some cases. That is why wind resource measurement and analysis are so crucial in project development. A robust estimate of the energy production of a prospective wind farm based on a wind and energy assessment is required to support investment and financing decisions. DNV GL has unrivalled experience in this kind of work since globally, no other company has provided assessments of more projects.

The steps involved in a wind and energy assessment are as follows:

  • Site visit to review monitoring equipment and where appropriate site characteristics
  • Wind data filtering and quality control to detect any erroneous or suspect observations
  • Wind data analysis and processing to define best possible prediction of long-term wind speed and direction frequency; where appropriate, including on-site data reconstruction, long-term adjustment and vertical extrapolation
  • Wind flow modelling, typically undertaken with a linear model such as WAsP and in certain cases augmented with the results from a computational fluid dynamics model, meso-scale modelling or even a conceptual model if there is an unusual wind flow regime
  • Energy calculation, including prediction of wake losses
  • Calculation of likely wind farm loss factors, e.g. wake loss, non-availability, electrical efficiency, turbine performance, environmental losses or curtailments
  • Uncertainty analysis to enable financial decision makers to take well informed decisions, e.g. by presenting the probability of exceeding energy levels at P75 or P90, i.e. a 75% or 90% chance of exceeding the predicted energy production figure
  • Detailed reporting

Outcomes from the wind and energy assessment deliver information on the wind regime at a site. This is crucial for the optimal design of the wind farm and in assessing the suitability of different turbine models for use at the site. The accuracy of the analysis is dependent on the extent, quality and duration of the wind data recorded at the site. Here, DNV GL can give clear guidance to developers on the requirements a site’s wind monitoring programme has to fulfil. Such guidance is described in detail in the Wind measurement service description. 

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